
The schedule takes its foot off the Diamondbacks' neck a bit in May, beginning with a relatively easy road trip through Miami, Atlanta and Colorado. Toughest series: May 20-22 Cardinals (.573 Opp W%)Įasiest series: May 27-29 vs.

Against the Dodgers, Cardinals, Cubs and Pirates, the D-backs were just 9-29 in 2015 - and that's not even counting the Giants, who are a fashionable selection to be the winners of the West this year, what with it being an even year 'n' all. As we noted previously, outside of the series against Colorado which bookend the month, it's going to be a near-constant test of our credentials, facing teams who destroyed us last season. Yeah, we'd better hope the Diamondbacks excellent season form carries forward into next month, because it doesn't get any harder than April as far as the schedule is concerned. Toughest series: Apr 12-14 Dodgers (.616 Opp W%)Įasiest series: Apr 4-6 and Apr 29-May 1 vs. of each day's TR, and these will include data from the previous or subsequent month, for games in the first and last week. This based on the actual opponent's W% for each game, so won't match exactly the overall "toughness rating" - the latter is the average. I've also crunched the numbers to see what kind of W-L record we would need to put up over the course of each month, in order to end at 90 wins for the season. Let's go through the schedule month by month, and see what the above shows, in terms of average "schedule toughness for the month". Finally, for ease of reading, I took all the figures and converted them so they sat on a scale from zero to a hundred. 446 on August 22, in the middle of series against the Padres, Braves and Reds. 563 on April 15, confirming the toughness of the early opposition. The highest point for that rolling average was. That gives a better idea of how tough each stretch of the schedule was. But to get a broader spell, I took the entire schedule and worked out a rolling average for each game, covering the seven previous contests and the six after - covering a total of 14 games. Obviously, that makes the road games against the Cubs the toughest. So, for home games, I adjusted the opponents W% down by 47 points, and for road ones, increased it by the same. 446 it doesn't add up to 1.000 because of interleague play. Last year, in the National League, home teams had a winning percentage of. This is then modified depending on whether we are playing at home or away. 588 (95 wins) expected for the Cubs, down to. For our opponents in 2016, that ranges from the. Firstly, there was the opponent: I've gone off the projected 2016 standings, using the W-L percentage projected by. Two components figured into the "difficulty" of a particular game.
